World Cup • Mon, Jul 6, 01:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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World Cup
Final · MEX 2–3 ENG ·
AccuScore's simulation makes England 43% to win, Mexico 28%, with a 29% chance of a draw. Projected score: Mexico 1.1, England 1.4. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% of simulations). Final score: Mexico 2, England 3.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes England the more likely winner at 43%, with a 29% chance of a draw. The game finished Mexico 2, England 3.
AccuScore's simulation gives England a 43% chance of beating Mexico, with 28% for Mexico and 29% for a draw. It finished England 3, Mexico 2.
AccuScore projects Mexico 1.1, England 1.4, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.