World Cup
Final · PAR 0–1 FRA ·
Paraguay
0
France
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
PAR
+1600
5.0% win prob
EV -7.5%
Betfair
Draw
Draw
+575
13% prob
EV -4.8%
Unibet
Moneyline
FRA
-526
81.6% win prob
EV -1.4%
Unibet
Projected score
0.6 – 2.7
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet ↗ | 2.5 | -152 | +2.6% | +120 | -9.8% |
| Betfair ↗ | 2.5 | -143 | +3.9% | +115 | -10.7% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -161 | +1.4% | +130 | -8.0% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.5 | -152 | +2.6% | +105 | -12.5% |
| 1xBet ↗ | 2.5 | -143 | +3.9% | +123 | -9.2% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mike MaignanG | 90 | — | — | 28(23) | — | 7 |
| 5 | Jules KoundéD | 90 | — | — | 59(56) | — | 7.2 |
| 4 | Dayot UpamecanoD | 90 | — | — | 65(61) | — | 7.3 |
| 17 | William SalibaD | 90 | — | — | 66(63) | — | 7.3 |
| 3 | Lucas DigneD | 90 | — | — | 55(47) | — | 7.2 |
| 6 | Manu KonéM | 90 | — | — | 71(66) | — | 6.9 |
| 14 | Adrien RabiotM | 90 | — | — | 61(51) | — | 6.9 |
| 11 | Michael OliseM | 90 | — | — | 60(56) | — | 6.6 |
| 7 | Ousmane DembéléM | 84 | — | — | 41(31) | — | 6.2 |
| 12 | Bradley BarcolaM | 61 | — | — | 13(13) | — | 6.5 |
| 10 | Kylian MbappéF | 90 | 1 | — | 27(22) | — | 7.3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 23 | Robin RisserG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | Brice SambaG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Malo GustoD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 15 | Ibrahima KonatéD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 19 | Theo HernándezD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21 | Lucas HernándezD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 26 | Maxence LacroixD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 24 | Rayan CherkiM sub | 17 | — | — | 5(5) | — | 6.3 |
| 8 | Aurélien TchouaméniM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 13 | N'Golo KantéM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Warren Zaïre-EmeryM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 25 | Maghnes AklioucheM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Désiré DouéF sub | 29 | — | — | 18(16) | — | 7.3 |
| 9 | Marcus ThuramF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | Jean-Philippe MatetaF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 63.4%
AccuScore's simulation makes France 82% to win, Paraguay 5%, with a 13% chance of a draw. Projected score: Paraguay 0.6, France 2.7. The single most likely scoreline is 0–2 (14% of simulations). Final score: Paraguay 0, France 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes France the more likely winner at 82%, with a 13% chance of a draw. The game finished Paraguay 0, France 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives France a 82% chance of beating Paraguay, with 5% for Paraguay and 13% for a draw. It finished France 1, Paraguay 0.
AccuScore projects Paraguay 0.6, France 2.7, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline.