Portugal
2
Croatia
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
POR
-135
52.0% win prob
EV -4.7%
Marathon
Draw
Draw
+272
26% prob
EV -2.4%
Marathon
Moneyline
CRO
+488
22.4% win prob
EV +15.9%
1xBet
Projected score
1.8 – 1.1
| Book | POR | EV | Draw | EV | CRO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 ↗ | -143 | -5.8% | +260 | -3.9% | +450 | +11.6% |
| Marathon ↗ | -135 | -4.7% | +272 | -2.4% | +450 | +11.6% |
| 1xBet ↗ | -143 | -5.8% | +266 | -3.2% | +488 | +15.9% |
| 10Bet ↗ | -147 | -6.3% | +270 | -2.6% | +390 | +4.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2.5 | -123 | +1.1% | +112 | -3.7% |
| Unibet ↗ | 2.5 | -133 | -0.7% | +104 | -5.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | 0.5 | -2500 | -0.7% | -2500 | -47.3% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -137 | -1.3% | +110 | -4.1% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.5 | -145 | -2.4% | +101 | -6.1% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominik LivakovićG | 90 | — | — | 27(26) | 2 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Josip StanišićD | 90 | — | — | 26(22) | — | 6.3 |
| 6 | Josip ŠutaloD | 90 | — | — | 34(27) | — | 6.6 |
| 3 | Marin PongračićD | 90 | — | — | 58(47) | — | 6.2 |
| 14 | Ivan PerišićD | 90 | 1 | — | 25(22) | — | 7.9 |
| 10 | Luka ModrićM | 90 | — | — | 52(45) | — | 6.9 |
| 17 | Petar SučićM | 90 | — | — | 39(31) | — | 6.5 |
| 8 | Mateo KovačićM | 89 | — | — | 52(49) | — | 7.2 |
| 13 | Nikola VlašićM | 89 | — | — | 15(11) | — | 6.2 |
| 16 | Martin BaturinaM | 68 | — | — | 14(12) | — | 6.5 |
| 11 | Ante BudimirF | 45 | — | — | 1(0) | — | 6.5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 12 | Ivor PandurG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 23 | Dominik KotarskiG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Joško GvardiolD sub | 17 | — | — | 7(5) | — | 6.3 |
| 5 | Duje Ćaleta-CarD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | Luka VuškovićD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 25 | Martin ErlićD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 15 | Mario PašalićM sub | 22 | — | — | 10(7) | — | 6.5 |
| 7 | Nikola MoroM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 19 | Toni FrukM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21 | Luka SučićM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Kristijan JakićM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Igor MatanovićF sub | 45 | — | — | 6(6) | — | 6.2 |
| 9 | Andrej KramarićF sub | 13 | — | — | 2(1) | — | 6.3 |
| 24 | Marco PašalićF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 26 | Petar MusaF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 22.4%
World Cup
Final · POR 2–1 CRO ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Portugal 52% to win, Croatia 22%, with a 26% chance of a draw. Projected score: Portugal 1.8, Croatia 1.1. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% of simulations). Final score: Portugal 2, Croatia 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Portugal the more likely winner at 52%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The game finished Portugal 2, Croatia 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives Croatia a 22% chance of beating Portugal, with 52% for Portugal and 26% for a draw. It finished Croatia 1, Portugal 2.
AccuScore projects Portugal 1.8, Croatia 1.1, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.