World Cup • Wed, Jul 1, 01:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
World Cup
Final · MEX 2–0 ECU ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Mexico 58% to win, Ecuador 18%, with a 24% chance of a draw. Projected score: Mexico 1.8, Ecuador 0.9. The single most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% of simulations). Final score: Mexico 2, Ecuador 0.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Mexico the more likely winner at 58%, with a 24% chance of a draw. The game finished Mexico 2, Ecuador 0.
AccuScore's simulation gives Ecuador a 18% chance of beating Mexico, with 58% for Mexico and 24% for a draw. It finished Ecuador 0, Mexico 2.
AccuScore projects Mexico 1.8, Ecuador 0.9, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.