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← Today's Edges
World Cup•FINALSilver Edge
MAR

Morocco

4

:
HAI

Haiti

2

Win Probability

Moneyline

MAR

-286

92.3% win prob

EV +12.3%

Betano

Draw

Draw

+520

6% prob

EV -31.4%

Pinnacle

Moneyline

HAI

+1050

1.7% win prob

EV -40.2%

Pinnacle

Projected score

3.8 – 0.5

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Total (Over/Under)O/U 3.5
0.53.56.5
Over Cover
62.6%
EV +24.5%
+138bet365 ↗
Under Cover
37.4%
EV -20.6%
-175bet365 ↗

Odds Comparison

Away / Draw / Home

BookMAREVDrawEVHAIEV
Pinnacle ↗-345+9.5%+520-31.4%+1050-40.2%
Unibet ↗-357+9.1%+475-32.8%+950-41.1%
bet365 ↗-370+8.6%+475-32.8%+1000-40.6%
1xBet ↗-312+10.9%+466-33.0%+940-41.2%
888sport ↗-400+7.7%+400-35.0%+900-41.5%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Pinnacle ↗3.5+156+30.1%-189-21.4%
Unibet ↗3.5+180+37.7%-227-23.1%
Betfair ↗3.5+150+28.3%-189-21.4%
bet365 ↗3.5+138+24.5%-175-20.6%
BetVictor ↗3.5+133+22.9%-196-21.8%

Match Events

90
🟨
Josué Casimir
HAI
89
⚽
Gessime Yassine(ass. Soufiane Rahimi)
MAR
79
🟨
Duckens Nazon
HAI
79
🟨
Johny Placide
HAI
78
⚽
Soufiane Rahimi(ass. Chadi Riad)
MAR
45
⚽
Ismael Saibari(ass. Achraf Hakimi)
MAR
43
⚽
Wilson Isidor(ass. Jean-Kévin Duverne)
HAI
39
⚽
Achraf Hakimi
MAR
10
⚽
Yassine Bounou(OG)
HAI
10
⚽
Lenny Joseph(ass. Jean-Kévin Duverne)
HAI

Match Statistics

HAIPossessionMAR
31%
69%
5
Shots
22
1
On Target
11
0
Corners
9
18
Fouls
9
0
Offsides
5
8
Saves
0
0.52
xG
3.26
240 (192)
Passes
537 (477)
4-4-1-1
Formation
4-2-3-1

Goal Scorer Probabilities

Haiti

Louicius Deedson
16%
Ruben Providence
10%
Josue Casimir
8%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
5%
Wilson Isidor
5%
Duke Lacroix
3%

Morocco

Ismael Saibari
73%
Abde Ezzalzouli
55%
Ayoub El Kaabi
43%
Bilal El Khannouss
33%
Achraf Hakimi
26%
Brahim Diaz
14%

Where to Bet

silver
MAR ML+12.3% EV

Win probability: 92.3%

Betano
-286Bet →
1xBet
-312Bet →
10Bet
-345Bet →
Pinnacle
-345Bet →
Unibet
-357Bet →

World Cup

Morocco vs Haiti Prediction

Final · MAR 4–2 HAI · Wed, Jun 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Morocco 92% to win, Haiti 2%, with a 6% chance of a draw. Projected score: Morocco 3.8, Haiti 0.5. The single most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% of simulations). Final score: Morocco 4, Haiti 2.

Projection updated Jun 28, 8:55 AM ET

Who will win Morocco vs Haiti?

AccuScore's simulation makes Morocco the more likely winner at 92%, with a 6% chance of a draw. The game finished Morocco 4, Haiti 2.

Will Haiti beat Morocco?

AccuScore's simulation gives Haiti a 2% chance of beating Morocco, with 92% for Morocco and 6% for a draw. It finished Haiti 2, Morocco 4.

What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Haiti?

AccuScore projects Morocco 3.8, Haiti 0.5, with 3-0 the single most likely scoreline.

Morocco predictions & record →Haiti predictions & record →