World Cup
Final · CZE 0–3 MEX ·
Czech Republic
0
Mexico
3
Win Probability
Moneyline
CZE
+370
29.1% win prob
EV +18.4%
Betano
Draw
Draw
+308
31% prob
EV +13.0%
1xBet
Moneyline
MEX
-122
40.0% win prob
EV -13.6%
Betano
Projected score
1.0 – 1.2
| Book | CZE | EV | Draw | EV | MEX | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair ↗ | +350 | +15.5% | +290 | +10.3% | -143 | -16.0% |
| bet365 ↗ | +333 | +13.0% | +300 | +11.8% | -137 | -15.4% |
| BetVictor ↗ | +320 | +11.1% | — | — | -137 | -15.4% |
| Marathon ↗ | +350 | +15.5% | — | — | -125 | -14.0% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +365 | +17.7% | +308 | +13.0% | -133 | -15.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet ↗ | 2.5 | -105 | -14.0% | -118 | +8.3% |
| Betfair ↗ | 5.5 | +1400 | -32.4% | +1400 | +682.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | +100 | -13.1% | -125 | +6.8% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.5 | -101 | -13.3% | -143 | +3.6% |
| Marathon ↗ | 2.5 | +109 | -11.4% | -130 | +5.8% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raúl RangelG | 78 | — | — | 25(18) | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Jorge SánchezD | 90 | — | 1 | 34(33) | — | 7.2 |
| 3 | César MontesD | 90 | — | — | 43(41) | — | 7.5 |
| 15 | Israel ReyesD | 90 | — | — | 47(42) | — | 7.5 |
| 20 | Mateo ChávezD | 78 | 1 | — | 19(16) | — | 8.2 |
| 4 | Edson ÁlvarezM | 90 | — | — | 37(30) | — | 6.6 |
| 19 | Gilberto MoraM | 72 | — | — | 24(21) | — | 6.9 |
| 7 | Luis RomoM | 63 | — | 1 | 23(20) | — | 6.7 |
| 25 | Roberto AlvaradoF | 90 | — | 1 | 55(46) | — | 7.2 |
| 16 | Julián QuiñonesF | 90 | 1 | — | 25(20) | — | 7.2 |
| 22 | Guillermo MartínezF | 63 | — | — | 14(12) | — | 6 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 13 | Guillermo OchoaG sub | 12 | — | — | 9(4) | — | 6.3 |
| 12 | Carlos AcevedoG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 23 | Jesús GallardoD sub | 12 | — | — | 6(6) | — | 6.6 |
| 5 | Johan VásquezD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Obed VargasM sub | 27 | — | — | 7(7) | — | 6.6 |
| 8 | Álvaro FidalgoM sub | 18 | 1 | — | 14(13) | — | 7.6 |
| 6 | Erik LiraM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 17 | Orbelín PinedaM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 24 | Luis ChávezM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 26 | Brian GutiérrezM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21 | César HuertaM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | Santiago GiménezF sub | 27 | — | — | 4(1) | — | 6.7 |
| 10 | Alexis VegaF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | Raúl JiménezF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14 | Armando GonzálezF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 30.9%
AccuScore's simulation makes Mexico 40% to win, Czech Republic 29%, with a 31% chance of a draw. Projected score: Czech Republic 1.0, Mexico 1.2. The single most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% of simulations). Final score: Czech Republic 0, Mexico 3.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Mexico the more likely winner at 40%, with a 31% chance of a draw. The game finished Czech Republic 0, Mexico 3.
AccuScore's simulation gives Mexico a 40% chance of beating Czech Republic, with 29% for Czech Republic and 31% for a draw. It finished Mexico 3, Czech Republic 0.
AccuScore projects Czech Republic 1.0, Mexico 1.2, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.