Toronto Maple Leafs
1-1
Colorado Avalanche
1-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
TOR
23.5% win prob
Moneyline
COL
76.5% win prob
Projected score
2.4 – 4.1
The Colorado Avalanche host the Toronto Maple Leafs in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. Colorado's offence projects to dominate; the Avalanche are modelled to score 4.1 goals, while Toronto's attack is expected to manage 2.4. AccuScore has graded 538 games shaped like this one—home sides favoured in the 70–80% range—and won the pick 69% of the time. In similar spots across eight other matchups, the favoured side won five. For the Maple Leafs to pull the upset, their defence would need to contain Colorado's scoring output well below projection.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche 77% to beat Toronto Maple Leafs (24%). Projected score: Toronto Maple Leafs 2.4, Colorado Avalanche 4.1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche the more likely winner at 77%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Colorado Avalanche a 77% chance of beating Toronto Maple Leafs, against 24% for Toronto Maple Leafs. Colorado Avalanche are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Toronto Maple Leafs 2.4, Colorado Avalanche 4.1.