Dallas Stars
0-0
Pittsburgh Penguins
1-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
DAL
60.3% win prob
Moneyline
PIT
39.7% win prob
Projected score
3.7 – 3.1
The Dallas Stars visit Pittsburgh Penguins in a matchup where the simulation favours the visitors. Across 10,000 runs, Dallas projects to outscore Pittsburgh by a half-goal, with the model backing the away side in a shape it has now graded 640 times—returning 60% wins and 1.9% profit. The game turns on finishing: Dallas is favoured to score 3.7 goals, Pittsburgh 3.1, a split that holds even as both offences will generate chances. Similar win-probability patterns have broken the model's way in 7 of 8 comparable matchups. For Pittsburgh to pull the upset, it would need to tighten the scoring gap and capitalize on its home ice.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars 60% to beat Pittsburgh Penguins (40%). Projected score: Dallas Stars 3.7, Pittsburgh Penguins 3.1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Stars the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Pittsburgh Penguins a 40% chance of beating Dallas Stars, against 60% for Dallas Stars. Pittsburgh Penguins are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Dallas Stars 3.7, Pittsburgh Penguins 3.1.