Detroit Red Wings
0-0
Montreal Canadiens
1-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
DET
52.2% win prob
Moneyline
MON
47.7% win prob
Projected score
2.9 – 2.8
Detroit Red Wings travel to Montreal Canadiens in a matchup the simulation sees as a coin-flip, barely favouring the visitors. The projection hinges on goaltending and depth scoring: both teams figure to land around 2.8 to 2.9 goals, making marginal advantages in either net decisive. AccuScore's record on games shaped this way—slight lean to the away team—stands at 49% across 1,832 prior matchups, a cautionary baseline. Among eight similar contests in recent memory, the model's side won six. Montreal would need to tilt play toward higher-volume chances and convert at a better rate to break the slight lean toward Detroit.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings 52% to beat Montreal Canadiens (48%). Projected score: Detroit Red Wings 2.9, Montreal Canadiens 2.8.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Montreal Canadiens a 48% chance of beating Detroit Red Wings, against 52% for Detroit Red Wings. Montreal Canadiens are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Detroit Red Wings 2.9, Montreal Canadiens 2.8.