New York Rangers
1-1
Washington Capitals
0-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
NYR
40.9% win prob
Moneyline
WAS
59.1% win prob
Projected score
2.9 – 3.3
The New York Rangers visit the Washington Capitals in a matchup where the model leans toward the hosts. AccuScore's simulation favours Washington across 10,000 iterations, with the game turning on whether New York can match the Capitals' scoring depth—the projection has Washington pulling ahead by just two-tenths of a goal. On the 50–60% home-lean shape this resembles, AccuScore has hit 50% of the time across 1,738 graded games. For the Rangers to upset the projection, they would need to suppress Washington's output below 3.3 goals while posting more than 2.9 themselves.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals 59% to beat New York Rangers (41%). Projected score: New York Rangers 2.9, Washington Capitals 3.3.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Capitals a 59% chance of beating New York Rangers, against 41% for New York Rangers. Washington Capitals are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects New York Rangers 2.9, Washington Capitals 3.3.