Minnesota Wild
1-0
Tampa Bay Lightning
0-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
MIN
42.4% win prob
Moneyline
TB
57.5% win prob
Projected score
3.0 – 3.4
The Minnesota Wild travel to face the Tampa Bay Lightning in a matchup the simulation favors Tampa Bay, though not decisively. Scoring will be tight: the model projects both teams near 3.4 goals, with Minnesota at 3.0, suggesting this turns on which side converts its chances at the margins. Over similar games shaped this way, AccuScore's model won 6 of 8. For Minnesota to pull the upset, it would need to capitalize on the few high-danger looks it generates against a Tampa Bay side expected to stay close throughout.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Lightning 57% to beat Minnesota Wild (42%). Projected score: Minnesota Wild 3.0, Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tampa Bay Lightning the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Tampa Bay Lightning a 57% chance of beating Minnesota Wild, against 42% for Minnesota Wild. Tampa Bay Lightning are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Minnesota Wild 3.0, Tampa Bay Lightning 3.4.