NHL
Minnesota Wild
1-0
Buffalo Sabres
0-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
MIN
47.8% win prob
Moneyline
BUF
52.2% win prob
Projected score
3.2 – 3.3
The Minnesota Wild travel to Buffalo to face the Sabres in a matchup the simulation barely favors the home side. Both offences project to score in the low threes, making this a coin-flip where finishing chances will decide it. On games shaped like this one—coin-flips backing the home team—AccuScore's record stands at 50% over 1,738 graded games. For Minnesota to pull off the upset, the Wild would need to convert at a higher rate than the simulation expects, or force Buffalo into inefficiency at the other end.
AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres 52% to beat Minnesota Wild (48%). Projected score: Minnesota Wild 3.2, Buffalo Sabres 3.3.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Buffalo Sabres the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Buffalo Sabres a 52% chance of beating Minnesota Wild, against 48% for Minnesota Wild. Buffalo Sabres are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Minnesota Wild 3.2, Buffalo Sabres 3.3.