Ottawa Senators
0-0
Detroit Red Wings
0-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
OTT
51.9% win prob
Moneyline
DET
48.1% win prob
Projected score
3.0 – 2.9
The Ottawa Senators visit Detroit Red Wings in a matchup the simulation barely favours the visitors. Across 10,000 simulations, Ottawa's slight lean reflects how tightly matched these teams project to be—a coin-flip in which both sides have genuine paths to victory. The game turns on finishing: Ottawa projects to 3.0 goals while Detroit reaches 2.9, a marginal difference that compounds across 60 minutes. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's record stands at 49% over 1,832 comparable contests. For Detroit to pull the upset at home, it would need to turn that tenth of a goal into a margin, which the model suggests happens just under half the time.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators 52% to beat Detroit Red Wings (48%). Projected score: Ottawa Senators 3.0, Detroit Red Wings 2.9.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Ottawa Senators the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Detroit Red Wings a 48% chance of beating Ottawa Senators, against 52% for Ottawa Senators. Detroit Red Wings are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Ottawa Senators 3.0, Detroit Red Wings 2.9.