Calgary Flames
0-1
SEA
1-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
CAL
40.1% win prob
Moneyline
SEA
59.9% win prob
Projected score
2.1 – 2.6
The Calgary Flames travel to Seattle for a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Across 10,000 simulations, this game turns on goaltending: the margin between a Calgary Flames win and a Seattle victory sits in tenths of a goal. On similar games shaped this way—a near-toss that still favors the host—AccuScore's record stands at 50% over 1,738 graded contests, though in eight comparable recent matchups the model's side won six times. For Calgary to leave with the upset, it would need to tighten that projected scoring gap and steal a goaltending battle where the numbers give Seattle the lean.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes SEA 60% to beat Calgary Flames (40%). Projected score: Calgary Flames 2.1, SEA 2.6.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes SEA the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives SEA a 60% chance of beating Calgary Flames, against 40% for Calgary Flames. SEA are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Calgary Flames 2.1, SEA 2.6.