UTA
1-0
New York Rangers
1-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
UTA
49.6% win prob
Moneyline
NYR
50.4% win prob
Projected score
2.8 – 2.7
Utah Hockey Club travel to Madison Square Garden for a coin-flip matchup against the New York Rangers, with the simulation barely favouring the hosts. Both teams project to score in the high-2s, but New York's marginal home advantage tips this toward them in a game AccuScore's model has graded as essentially even. Over 1,738 games shaped similarly—close calls backing the home side—the model has hit at exactly 50%. For Utah to pull off the upset, they'll need to convert their scoring chances at a higher rate than the Rangers, who have the last-change luxury that comes with hosting.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers 50% to beat UTA (50%). Projected score: UTA 2.8, New York Rangers 2.7.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers the more likely winner at 50%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Rangers a 50% chance of beating UTA, against 50% for UTA. New York Rangers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects UTA 2.8, New York Rangers 2.7.