Shakhtar Donetsk
AEK Athens
Win Probability
Moneyline
SHA
56.0% win prob
Moneyline
AEK
18.8% win prob
Projected score
2.0 – 1.1
Shakhtar Donetsk travels to face AEK Athens in a Champions League clash where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. Across 10,000 simulations, Shakhtar's attacking threat drives the projection, with the most likely outcome a 2–1 away win. The decisive factor is whether AEK can contain Shakhtar's offensive pressure; AccuScore's model has called similar games correctly 73% of the time over 276 past instances. For AEK to upset the projection, they would need to tighten their defence and convert limited chances efficiently—a tall order against a side the model expects to generate genuine scoring opportunities.
Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Shakhtar Donetsk 56% to win, AEK Athens 19%, with a 25% chance of a draw. Projected score: Shakhtar Donetsk 2.0, AEK Athens 1.1. The single most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% of simulations).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Shakhtar Donetsk the more likely winner at 56%, with a 25% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives AEK Athens a 19% chance of beating Shakhtar Donetsk, with 56% for Shakhtar Donetsk and 25% for a draw. AEK Athens are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Shakhtar Donetsk 2.0, AEK Athens 1.1, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline.