Bodo/Glimt
Borussia Dortmund
Win Probability
Moneyline
BOD
23.1% win prob
Moneyline
BVB
55.6% win prob
Projected score
1.7 – 2.6
Borussia Dortmund hosts Bodø/Glimt in a Champions League fixture where the simulation clearly favours the home side. The model projects a 1–2 scoreline as most likely, with combined scoring expected to exceed the market total in 61% of simulations. The game turns on whether Bodø/Glimt can sustain attacking threat while travelling; AccuScore has backed the over on games shaped like this one at 48% over nearly 3,000 comparable matchups. For the visitors to upset Borussia Dortmund, they would need to overturn a lean that strongly favours the host.
Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Borussia Dortmund 56% to win, Bodo/Glimt 23%, with a 21% chance of a draw. Projected score: Bodo/Glimt 1.7, Borussia Dortmund 2.6. The single most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% of simulations).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Borussia Dortmund the more likely winner at 56%, with a 21% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Borussia Dortmund a 56% chance of beating Bodo/Glimt, with 23% for Bodo/Glimt and 21% for a draw. Borussia Dortmund are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Bodo/Glimt 1.7, Borussia Dortmund 2.6, with 1-2 the single most likely scoreline.