Real Betis
Porto
Win Probability
Moneyline
BET
52.0% win prob
Moneyline
POR
22.5% win prob
Projected score
1.9 – 1.2
Real Betis travels to Porto in a Champions League clash where the simulation favours the visitors clearly. The model projects a low-scoring affair built on Real Betis's ability to create chances on the road, though Porto will have opportunities to level or go ahead at home. Across eight similar matchups, the favoured away side won five times, though AccuScore's record on games shaped this way sits at 61% over 430 graded contests. Porto would need to shut down Real Betis's attacking play and convert their home chances at a higher rate than the projections suggest to overturn the model's lean.
Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Betis 52% to win, Porto 23%, with a 26% chance of a draw. Projected score: Real Betis 1.9, Porto 1.2. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% of simulations).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Betis the more likely winner at 52%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Porto a 23% chance of beating Real Betis, with 52% for Real Betis and 26% for a draw. Porto are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Real Betis 1.9, Porto 1.2, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.