LASK
Liverpool
Win Probability
Moneyline
LAS
11.0% win prob
Moneyline
LIV
68.8% win prob
Projected score
0.8 – 2.2
Liverpool hosts LASK in a Champions League fixture where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The model projects a comfortable Liverpool victory, with the game turning on whether LASK can generate enough attacking threat to keep the score respectable—the combined output sits well below the market's total in 64% of simulations. AccuScore's record on games shaped this way, where the home side commands a decisive advantage, stands at 53% over more than 3,000 prior matchups. For the visitors to escape with a result, they would need to convert chances at an unusually high rate while containing Liverpool's attacking output far more effectively than the model expects.
Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Liverpool 69% to win, LASK 11%, with a 20% chance of a draw. Projected score: LASK 0.8, Liverpool 2.2. The single most likely scoreline is 0–2 (12% of simulations).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Liverpool the more likely winner at 69%, with a 20% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Liverpool a 69% chance of beating LASK, with 11% for LASK and 20% for a draw. Liverpool are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects LASK 0.8, Liverpool 2.2, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline.