Villarreal
2
Atlético Madrid
2
Win Probability
Moneyline
VIL
+345
27.2% win prob
EV +10.5%
Pinnacle
Draw
Draw
+300
31% prob
EV +11.0%
1xBet
Moneyline
ATL
-122
42.3% win prob
EV -11.5%
Pinnacle
Projected score
0.9 – 1.3
| Book | VIL | EV | Draw | EV | ATL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +345 | +10.5% | +292 | +9.8% | -122 | -11.5% |
| Betfair ↗ | +320 | +7.1% | +260 | +4.9% | -137 | -13.4% |
| William Hill ↗ | +320 | +7.1% | +270 | +6.4% | -133 | -12.9% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +345 | +10.5% | +300 | +11.0% | -125 | -11.9% |
| SBOBET ↗ | +295 | +3.7% | +269 | +6.3% | -123 | -11.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet ↗ | 2.75 | -118 | — | -106 | — |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.75 | -133 | — | -108 | — |
| Marathon ↗ | 5.5 | +780 | -40.1% | -10000 | -0.6% |
| 1xBet ↗ | 2.5 | -159 | -20.4% | +130 | +23.2% |
| 888sport ↗ | 2.5 | -154 | -20.0% | +120 | +20.0% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jan OblakG | 90 | — | — | 29(25) | 4 | 8.2 |
| 17 | Dávid HanckoD | 90 | — | — | 69(62) | — | 6.9 |
| 22 | Alejandro GrimaldoD | 90 | — | — | 48(42) | — | 6.7 |
| 24 | Robin Le NormandD | 76 | — | — | 35(32) | — | 5.7 |
| 18 | Marc PubillD | 66 | 1 | — | 32(28) | — | 8.2 |
| 20 | Giuliano SimeoneM | 90 | 1 | 1 | 36(29) | — | 7.9 |
| 23 | Morten HjulmandM | 90 | — | — | 66(64) | — | 7 |
| 6 | KokeM | 66 | — | — | 44(39) | — | 7.7 |
| 4 | Rodrigo MendozaM | 45 | — | — | 16(14) | — | 6.7 |
| 11 | Ademola LookmanF | 79 | — | — | 13(12) | — | 7.2 |
| 7 | Kang-in LeeF | 66 | — | — | 31(25) | — | 6.9 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 1 | Juan MussoG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | José María GiménezD sub | 11 | — | — | 19(17) | — | 6.7 |
| 30 | Dani MartinezD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 27 | Jorge DomínguezD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Alex BaenaM sub | 45 | — | 1 | 24(18) | — | 6 |
| 14 | Marcos LlorenteM sub | 24 | — | — | 21(20) | — | 6.9 |
| 8 | Pablo BarriosM sub | 24 | — | — | 27(23) | — | 6.9 |
| 5 | Johnny CardosoM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 46 | Jorge CastilloM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 19 | Julián AlvarezF sub | 24 | — | — | 10(9) | — | 6.3 |
| 16 | Arnau OrtizF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12 | Carlos MartínF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 30.5%
La Liga
Final · VIL 2–2 ATL ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid 42% to win, Villarreal 27%, with a 31% chance of a draw. Projected score: Villarreal 0.9, Atlético Madrid 1.3. The single most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% of simulations). Final score: Villarreal 2, Atlético Madrid 2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid the more likely winner at 42%, with a 31% chance of a draw. The game finished Villarreal 2, Atlético Madrid 2.
AccuScore's simulation gives Atlético Madrid a 42% chance of beating Villarreal, with 27% for Villarreal and 31% for a draw. It finished Atlético Madrid 2, Villarreal 2.
AccuScore projects Villarreal 0.9, Atlético Madrid 1.3, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.