Philadelphia Union
3
New York Red Bulls
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
PHI
+120
34.7% win prob
EV -11.8%
Betano
Draw
Draw
+310
23% prob
EV -2.0%
Pinnacle
Moneyline
RBNY
+220
41.9% win prob
EV +17.0%
bet365
Projected score
1.8 – 2.0
| Book | PHI | EV | Draw | EV | RBNY | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +112 | -13.2% | +310 | -2.0% | +213 | +15.6% |
| Betfair ↗ | +115 | -12.7% | +280 | -5.5% | +200 | +12.8% |
| bet365 ↗ | +105 | -14.4% | +290 | -4.4% | +220 | +17.0% |
| William Hill ↗ | +110 | -13.6% | +260 | -7.9% | +190 | +10.8% |
| BetVictor ↗ | +105 | -14.4% | +290 | -4.4% | +210 | +14.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3.5 | +106 | +4.0% | -120 | -6.4% |
| Unibet ↗ | 3.25 | -128 | — | — | — |
| Betfair ↗ | 3.5 | +100 | +2.4% | -133 | -8.3% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | +100 | +2.4% | -137 | -8.9% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3.5 | -103 | +1.7% | — | — |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Ethan HorvathG | 90 | — | — | 25(19) | 1 | 6.3 |
| 12 | Dylan NealisD | 90 | — | — | 58(50) | — | 7.3 |
| 2 | Justin CheD | 90 | — | — | 86(79) | — | 7.6 |
| 14 | Julián BazánD | 90 | — | — | 72(61) | — | 7.2 |
| 56 | Matthew Dos SantosD | 67 | — | — | 29(18) | — | 5.9 |
| 48 | Ronald DonkorM | 90 | — | — | 43(40) | — | 6.9 |
| 15 | Adri MehmetiM | 90 | — | — | 50(41) | — | 6.9 |
| 7 | Cade CowellM | 67 | — | — | 16(13) | — | 6.7 |
| 10 | Emil ForsbergM | 67 | — | — | 8(7) | — | 6.3 |
| 11 | Jorge RuvalcabaM | 45 | — | — | 7(6) | — | 6.3 |
| 16 | Julian HallF | 90 | — | — | 20(11) | — | 6.2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 77 | John McCarthyG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Jahkeele Marshall-RuttyD sub | 23 | — | — | 17(15) | — | 6.9 |
| 5 | Omar ValenciaD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 26 | Tim ParkerD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 13 | Eric Maxim Choupo-MotingF sub | 45 | 1 | — | 13(11) | — | 7.5 |
| 17 | Cameron HarperF sub | 23 | — | — | 10(7) | — | 6.2 |
| 37 | Mohammed SofoF sub | 23 | — | 1 | 10(7) | — | 6.9 |
| 92 | Dennis NelichF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 91 | Mijahir JimenezF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 41.9%
MLS
Final · PHI 3–1 RBNY ·
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Red Bulls 42% to win, Philadelphia Union 35%, with a 23% chance of a draw. Projected score: Philadelphia Union 1.8, New York Red Bulls 2.0. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% of simulations). Final score: Philadelphia Union 3, New York Red Bulls 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Red Bulls the more likely winner at 42%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The game finished Philadelphia Union 3, New York Red Bulls 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Red Bulls a 42% chance of beating Philadelphia Union, with 35% for Philadelphia Union and 23% for a draw. It finished New York Red Bulls 1, Philadelphia Union 3.
AccuScore projects Philadelphia Union 1.8, New York Red Bulls 2.0, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.