MLS
Final · STL 1–1 SKC ·
St. Louis City
1
Sporting KC
1
Win Probability
Moneyline
STL
-114
29.8% win prob
EV -22.0%
Pinnacle
Draw
Draw
+305
24% prob
EV -1.4%
Betano
Moneyline
SKC
+310
46.2% win prob
EV +44.7%
bet365
Projected score
1.3 – 1.9
| Book | STL | EV | Draw | EV | SKC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -114 | -22.0% | +303 | -1.6% | +293 | +40.8% |
| Unibet ↗ | -122 | -22.9% | +285 | -3.8% | +280 | +37.8% |
| bet365 ↗ | -125 | -23.2% | +300 | -2.0% | +310 | +44.7% |
| William Hill ↗ | -125 | -23.2% | — | — | +260 | +33.2% |
| 888sport ↗ | -118 | -22.5% | +270 | -5.6% | +260 | +33.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | -105 | -0.3% | -108 | -2.1% |
| Unibet ↗ | 2.75 | -164 | — | — | — |
| Betfair ↗ | 1.5 | -769 | -3.2% | — | — |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -175 | -1.4% | +135 | -5.1% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3 | -120 | -2.6% | -120 | -3.8% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Stefan ClevelandG | 90 | — | — | 26(22) | 1 | 6.9 |
| 8 | Jacob DavisD | 90 | — | — | 48(41) | — | 7.2 |
| 15 | Jansen MillerD | 90 | — | — | 36(28) | — | 6.3 |
| 28 | Wyatt MeyerD | 90 | — | — | 65(60) | — | 7 |
| 18 | Emir KarićD | 89 | — | — | 57(49) | — | 6.9 |
| 7 | CapitaM | 90 | — | — | 23(21) | — | 6.6 |
| 4 | Lasse Berg JohnsenM | 90 | — | — | 56(53) | — | 7.2 |
| 22 | Zorhan BassongM | 75 | — | — | 32(28) | — | 7.3 |
| 11 | Calvin HarrisM | 75 | 1 | — | 24(17) | — | 8 |
| 9 | Dejan JoveljićF | 90 | — | — | 25(19) | — | 6.3 |
| 19 | Taylor CalheiraF | 64 | — | 1 | 19(16) | — | 7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 1 | John PulskampG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 16 | Jacob BartlettD sub | 15 | — | — | 17(16) | — | 6.9 |
| 99 | Jayden ReidD sub | 1 | — | — | 6(5) | — | — |
| 13 | Justin ReynoldsD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Ian JamesD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 57 | Diego BorgesD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 93 | Shapi SuleymanovF sub | 26 | — | — | 20(19) | — | 6.6 |
| 17 | Stephen AfrifaF sub | 15 | — | — | 11(10) | — | 6.7 |
AccuScore's simulation makes Sporting KC 46% to win, St. Louis City 30%, with a 24% chance of a draw. Projected score: St. Louis City 1.3, Sporting KC 1.9. The single most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% of simulations). Final score: St. Louis City 1, Sporting KC 1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Sporting KC the more likely winner at 46%, with a 24% chance of a draw. The game finished St. Louis City 1, Sporting KC 1.
AccuScore's simulation gives Sporting KC a 46% chance of beating St. Louis City, with 30% for St. Louis City and 24% for a draw. It finished Sporting KC 1, St. Louis City 1.
AccuScore projects St. Louis City 1.3, Sporting KC 1.9, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.