Malaga
0
Atlético Madrid
2
Win Probability
Moneyline
MLG
+613
7.3% win prob
EV -24.0%
1xBet
Draw
Draw
+375
16% prob
EV -12.0%
Betano
Moneyline
ATL
-192
76.7% win prob
EV +8.3%
Betano
Projected score
0.6 – 2.4
| Book | MLG | EV | Draw | EV | ATL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet ↗ | +600 | -24.4% | +325 | -16.0% | -213 | +6.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | +550 | -26.3% | +333 | -15.4% | -250 | +3.7% |
| bet365 ↗ | +600 | -24.4% | +360 | -13.2% | -222 | +5.6% |
| William Hill ↗ | +550 | -26.3% | +320 | -16.4% | -227 | +5.2% |
| BetVictor ↗ | +600 | -24.4% | +360 | -13.2% | -227 | +5.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | +111 | -0.6% | — | — |
| Unibet ↗ | 2.5 | -137 | +0.7% | — | — |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -161 | -2.5% | +130 | -2.4% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 2.75 | -133 | — | -109 | — |
| Marathon ↗ | 3 | +106 | -1.5% | -137 | -3.0% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jan OblakG | 90 | — | — | 28(22) | 1 | 6.9 |
| 24 | Robin Le NormandD | 90 | — | — | 30(28) | — | 7.2 |
| 17 | Dávid HanckoD | 90 | — | 1 | 95(91) | — | 8.6 |
| 30 | Dani MartinezD | 90 | — | — | 55(47) | — | 6.7 |
| 27 | Jorge DomínguezD | 45 | — | — | 13(13) | — | 6.7 |
| 8 | Pablo BarriosM | 90 | — | — | 58(51) | — | 7.6 |
| 6 | KokeM | 78 | — | — | 67(59) | — | 7.5 |
| 12 | Carlos MartínM | 57 | — | — | 20(15) | — | 6.5 |
| 4 | Rodrigo MendozaM | 57 | — | — | 22(20) | — | 6.9 |
| 16 | Arnau OrtizM | 57 | — | — | 7(5) | — | 6.7 |
| 11 | Ademola LookmanF | 90 | — | — | 23(17) | — | 6.3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 1 | Juan MussoG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 | Marc PubillD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | José María GiménezD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22 | Alejandro GrimaldoD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14 | Marcos LlorenteM sub | 45 | — | — | 33(31) | — | 6.6 |
| 10 | Alex BaenaM sub | 33 | 1 | — | 20(16) | — | 7.6 |
| 7 | Kang-in LeeM sub | 33 | 1 | — | 14(13) | — | 8.2 |
| 23 | Morten HjulmandM sub | 12 | — | — | 11(10) | — | 6.6 |
| 5 | Johnny CardosoM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 46 | Jorge CastilloM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 | Giuliano SimeoneF sub | 33 | — | — | 24(17) | — | 6.6 |
| 29 | Miguel CuboF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 76.7%
La Liga
Final · MLG 0–2 ATL ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid 77% to win, Malaga 7%, with a 16% chance of a draw. Projected score: Malaga 0.6, Atlético Madrid 2.4. The single most likely scoreline is 0–2 (14% of simulations). Final score: Malaga 0, Atlético Madrid 2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlético Madrid the more likely winner at 77%, with a 16% chance of a draw. The game finished Malaga 0, Atlético Madrid 2.
AccuScore's simulation gives Atlético Madrid a 77% chance of beating Malaga, with 7% for Malaga and 16% for a draw. It finished Atlético Madrid 2, Malaga 0.
AccuScore projects Malaga 0.6, Atlético Madrid 2.4, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline.